Weak AUD/JPY signals return to risk off
It's been a day of weakness for the Aussie yen as risk-on sentiment evaporated once more, with markets remaining fragile and nervous as each day reveals fresh news on the current virus sweeping the globe. As a barometer of risk the AUD/JPY is always one currency pair that reveals this sentiment clearly, with the Aussie dollar considered a risk currency and the Japanese yen a safe haven. This weakness was signaled earlier in the week with the failed effort to rise on high volume and now followed by a bearish engulfing candle.
AUD/JPY: The Ultimate Risk Sentiment Barometer in Forex Markets
The AUD/JPY currency pair is one of the most widely watched "risk-on/risk-off" indicators in the forex world. Often called the "risk barometer" or "carry trade proxy," AUD/JPY moves in near-perfect alignment with global risk appetite. When investors feel optimistic and are willing to take on risk, AUD/JPY rises sharply. When fear returns and risk aversion...
Great Volume Price Analysis Lessons On The CAD/JPY
Some classic price action on the CAD/JPY daily chart, and in particular, several volume price analysis lessons to take away. First, note the volume anomaly on the wide spread up candle. Volume is average, so the market makers are not participating, as the trap is set. Clearly, volume and price are not in agreement, and this is a sure signal of weakness ahead.
The price waterfall is developing as expected, and note the rising volume in a falling market, confirming the strength of the trend. Finally, in the last few days, we have had a two-bar reversal on good volume, with the currency pair looking weak. And remember, the Canadian dollar is closely associated with oil and with the recent fall in oil prices, this has also been reflected in the currency and one of the topics I cover in my free forex webclass.
Volume Price Analysis (VPA) 101: A Beginner's Introduction
Volume Price Analysis (VPA)...
Crossover session traps
The crossover sessions in forex occur when trading in one timezone closes and another opens and can be a very dangerous time for traders. Why? Because this is where insider traps are set. The London open always is a fertile ground and there was a great example on the usd/jpy.
Heavy buying in the pair on the previous day resulted in a nice move higher in Asia with the pair moving into consolidation ahead of the London open.
Prior to the open the pair started to move higher on reasonable volume but reversed lower at the open on high volume until the hammer candle, again on high volume pushed the pair back towards the consolidation (the yellow line on the chart).
Session Crossover Traps: How Market Makers Catch Unwary Traders (and How to Avoid Them)
The session crossover — the moment one major trading session hands over to the next — is one of the most dangerous times of the day for...
