Yesterday’s FOMC: Hawkish Pivot Boosts the Dollar

Yesterday’s FOMC: Hawkish Pivot Boosts the Dollar

by David Coulling Comment Closed
Yesterday’s FOMC: Hawkish Pivot Boosts the Dollar The Fed held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75%, as widely expected. But the real story was in the details: The policy statement was dramatically shortened and stripped of forward guidance. The Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot) turned notably hawkish: nine officials now see at least one rate hike by year-end, with 2026 inflation forecasts revised higher (PCE to 3.6%). Warsh emphasised data-dependence, inflation as a “choice,” and a commitment to restoring credibility. Markets reacted with a risk-off move (stocks sold off), but the US Dollar Index (DXY) jumped, breaking toward the 99.50–100.00 zone. Higher US rate expectations relative to the rest of the world provided immediate support. This Morning’s BoE Decision: Further Tailwind for USD The Bank of England held its Bank Rate at 3.75%, in line with expectations, but the accompanying tone and vote split reinforced a more cautious stance amid soft UK labour data and easing inflation pressures. GBP/USD dropped over 100...
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FOMO, volatility and volume price analysis – STOP trading with emotion, and instead trade with confidence

FOMO, volatility and volume price analysis – STOP trading with emotion, and instead trade with confidence

by David Coulling Comment Closed
Stop Chasing FOMO on ES Futures: Spotting 3 Classic Insider Volatility Candles on the Daily Chart with Quantum Volatility Indicator & VPA If you trade the ES futures (E-mini S&P 500), you’ve almost certainly felt the gut-wrenching pain of FOMO — that irresistible urge to jump into a fast-moving market only to watch it reverse violently against you, often leaving your account lighter and your confidence shaken. The daily timeframe is where these traps show up most clearly. Dramatic volatility candles appear that look like powerful breakouts or breakdowns but quickly turn into costly congestion zones, sharp reversals, or both. In this in-depth post, we’re going to dissect the exact ES daily chart you see above (the same one I used in my recent schema video). I’ll walk you through the three classic FOMO volatility candles marked on it, show you how the Quantum Dynamic Volatility Indicator flags them in real time, and explain how my Volume Price Analysis (VPA) methodology —...
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